New Orleans may see six to 12 inches of rain, and is gearing up to be one of the worse blows to hit the city since Katrina. Weather Channel meteorologist Jim Cantore reports.
Updated at 2 a.m. ET: Unprotected, low-lying areas outside New Orleans were evacuated Monday as Tropical Storm Isaac grew closer to becoming a hurricane that could make landfall in or near Louisiana almost seven years to the day after Hurricane Katrina struck.
"All preparations to protect life and property should be completed tonight," said Ed Rappaport of the National Hurricane Center in his 8 p.m. ET Monday update. He emphasized that water from rain and storm surge would be the biggest threat -- 6 to 18 inches of rain are expected.
Isaac's wind speed increased to 70 mph, just 4 mph short of a hurricane, the National Hurricane Center said in a late afternoon update. It also forecast Isaac would reach Category 2 status with 100 mph winds late Tuesday night. That's a stronger Isaac than was forecast earlier Monday.
By 2 a.m. ET Tuesday, the center of the storm was 145 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River with maximum sustained winds still at 70mph, the National Hurricane Center said. Isaac was predicted to slow down upon landfall, which forecasters say could be the ultimate test of $14 billion upgrade to its levees and pumps.
In areas near New Orleans, mandatory evacuations were ordered Monday morning for "our low-lying areas — those outside the hurricane protection system — such as Lafitte, Crown Point, Barataria and Grand Isle," Jefferson Parish President John Young told TODAY.
Plaquemines Parish, which stretches 60 miles out into the Gulf, also issued a mandatory evacuation order for its 7,000 residents on its east bank starting at noon Monday.
"We’re telling them to get out," Parish President Bill Nungesser told MSNBC. "We’re going to get hit first and we’re going to take the worst beating of this storm. So people are heading up the highway now."
"In our parish there’s one road in and one road out," he added, "and it’s steady traffic flowing out the parish as we speak."
Isaac is expected to be the first major test of a $14 billion makeover of the system that failed the city so disastrously in 2005. NBC's Lester Holt reports.
Parts of Lafourche, St. Charles, St. John parishes saw mandatory evacuations as well.
The governors of Alabama, Louisiana and Mississippi declared states of emergency as a hurricane warning went into effect for a 300-mile swath that extended into Florida. The warning area was later narrowed to between Morgan City, La., and the Alabama-Florida border. President Barack Obama approved Louisiana's request for federal disaster declaration, Governor Bobby Jindal said. The approval makes federal funds available for disaster recovery activities like clearing debris, Reuters reported.
"Tonight is when the conditions will start to go downhill" ahead of landfall by Tuesday night, National Hurricane Center Director Rick Knabb said in a morning update.
Isaac will probably move slowly inland, possibly dumping as much as 18 inches of rain in places, Knabb said.
"That's going to be the big problem," NBC meteorologist Al Roker said on TODAY. "We're talking about potentially 24 hours of hurricane force winds and heavy rain."
"Storm surge is going to be a big, big problem," he added. "Six to twelve feet above normal as you get to New Orleans. Panama City is about four to seven feet."
Related: Follow Isaac's path with our storm tracker
The hurricane warning area includes New Orleans, which was devastated when Hurricane Katrina swept over the city on August 29, 2005, killing more than 1,800 people and causing billions of dollars of damage along the coast. A hurricane hasn't hit the Gulf Coast since Ike in 2008.
New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu said at a briefing Monday that schools and City Hall had closed and that the city's defense network of levees and pumps was ready.
NBC's Lester Holt reports from New Orleans, La., where residents and visitors are prepping for Tropical Storm Isaac as it threatens to strengthen into a hurricane before landfall.
"All pumps are operational," he said. "We are well prepared to go."
Landrieu earlier noted the irony of Isaac's arrival. "The timing, as fate would have it, on the anniversary of Katrina has everybody in a state of alertness, but that is a good thing," he said.
If Isaac makes landfall a bit west of New Orleans, that puts the city in the northeast quadrant of the storm, Roker noted, "and that's the worst place" for storm impact.
With tropical storm force winds that extend 205 miles from its center, Isaac is an unusually wide storm.
"Impacts will be far to the east and to the west of where it comes ashore," Craig Fugate, head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, told TODAY.
TODAY's Savannah Guthrie talks to Jefferson Parish president John Young about possible impact of Tropical Storm Isaac on Louisiana, how residents should prepare and when voluntary evacuations will become mandatory.
Related: Reshuffled Republican convention to proceed on Tuesday
Robert Latham, the director of Mississippi's emergency management agency, urged residents to prepare for the storm's possible arrival.
"This is important to remember, this is a huge storm," he said. "I don't have to tell you what a storm like that can do."
Alabama Gov. Robert Bentley ordered mandatory evacuations beginning on Monday for residents in low-lying areas along the coast.
Oil companies earlier evacuated workers and cut production at Gulf offshore rigs.
Weather.com reported that areas as far west as extreme southeast Texas should continue to monitor Isaac's progress in case a farther west track materializes.
Some Gulf residents started stocking up on supplies and securing their homes. In New Orleans, long lines formed at some gas stations and in Gulfport, Miss., people crowded supermarkets to buy bottled water and canned food.
On Sunday, the storm lashed the Florida Keys and Miami area with wind and rain. Monday morning, some 80,000 south Florida homes and businesses were without electricity due to downed trees that fell on power lines.
The hurricane warning area includes "quite a few oil rigs," said National Hurricane Center meteorologist Jessica Schauer, but perhaps not the heart of the U.S. offshore oil patch, which produces about 23 percent of U.S. oil output and 7 percent of its natural gas.
Once ashore, the storm could wreak havoc on low-lying fuel refineries along the Gulf Coast that account for about 40 percent of U.S. refining capacity.
That could send gasoline prices spiking just ahead of the Labor Day holiday, analysts told Reuters. "It's going right in the heart of refinery row," Phil Flynn, an analyst with Price Futures Group in Chicago, said Sunday.
From weather.com: Live updates and analysis
Isaac's westward track meant the worst of its weather missed Tampa, where the Republican National Convention was to open its four-day meeting on Monday — but official events were delayed until Tuesday because of the storm.
Tampa and much of Florida's west coast and panhandle saw bands of heavy rain on Tuesday morning.
"There's an isolated tornado threat in central Florida up through the northeastern Gulf area," Knabb said. "Just because the center is out in the Gulf don't think that in Florida there aren't some hazards."
Several Republican governors from Gulf states have altered their plans for the GOP convention. Alabama's Gov. Bentley and Louisiana's Gov. Jindal canceled their trips to Tampa. Florida Gov. Rick Scott gave up a chance to speak.
NBC's Chuck Todd reports from Tampa, Fla., where delays at the Republican National Convention due to Tropical Storm Isaac are set to disrupt the lead-up to Mitt Romney's acceptance of the Republican nomination for president.
U.S. grain elevators on the Gulf coast were shut and barges carrying grain and other goods on the lower Mississippi River were halted in preparation for the storm. Archer Daniels Midland closed four elevators in New Orleans, while Cargill said elevators in Westwego and Reserve, Louisiana, will be closed.
"We have activated our hurricane readiness plan and are taking precautions to ensure the safety of our employees and their families, as well as the security of our assets in the New Orleans area," ADM spokeswoman Jackie Anderson said.
The Mississippi River is a major channel for the movement of grain produced in the Midwest farm belt to export terminals at the Gulf of Mexico for shipment across the world.
"The safety of our employees is the top priority," Cargill told Reuters.
In south Florida, winds from Isaac forced cancellations of hundreds of flights in and out of Miami, Fort Lauderdale and other south Florida airports on Sunday.
Isaac is also affecting cruises around Florida and the Caribbean, according to Cruise Critic, a website that covers the industry. Cruise lines have kept ships at sea, altered itineraries and delayed departures of upcoming sailings, Cruise Critic reported.
Related: South hopes for drought relief from Isaac
Isaac moved into the Gulf of Mexico after spending several days sweeping across the Caribbean.
In Haiti, Isaac added to the misery of more than 350,000 survivors of the 2010 earthquake still living in flimsy resettlement camps as water gushed into tents and corrugated plastic shacks were ripped apart by the wind.
Authorities in the impoverished nation said the storm had killed eight people, including three children.
In the Dominican Republic, officials said three people were missing, and confirmed the death of the mayor of a town near Santo Domingo, who was swept away as he tried to save another person from a flooded river.
No deaths or injuries were reported in Cuba, which got off lightly when the storm crossed its eastern flank instead of raking up the length of the island as originally predicted.
Weather.com, Reuters and The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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Makes me wonder if CNN was mistaken when it declared that God was a Democrat (dripping with sarcasm).
It will be interesting to see if those still in New Orleans heed the advice to vacate this time.
Just make sure they MAKE everyone in Orleans GTFO, so we don't have to hear them cry foul again.
And as per usual, perfectly able-bodied people will refuse to evacuate, get ravaged from the storm, and then blame someone else for their misfortune.
My crystal ball helped me to predict that one.
Phase 1 Complete - perfectly able-bodied people refused to evacuate
Phase 2 Complete - got ravaged by the storm
Phase 3 Pending - Just waiting on the blame game
Please NO more financial aid to New Orleans and area for hurricane damage. So much abuse occurred during Katrina.
The storm is going to miss Tampa? I thought for sure that President Obama would send a hurricane to disrupt the GOP convention. We all know that one Presidential power is the ability to call up a hurricane when needed. Remember when George Bush called up Katrina because he hated poor, black people? If Obama couldn't get Issac to flatten Tampa, does that mean George Bush was a better president?
Quick. Send Sarah Palin to FLA. Isaac will turn tail and run!
Evacuate low areas of New Orleans huh? Just like when Katrina came through? That same kind of evacuation that us tax payers are still paying for? Oh I see.
Obama is sending the storm to New Orleans? Now I'm really confused. Obama Hates poor, black people, too?
No that was bush remember?
I wonder if all those welfare kings and queen and little ones, in this overwhelmingly Dumbocrat voting city have learned their lesson and will leave? No Ray isn't gas up the buses to drive you to higher ground. So for the first time in your life you have to depend on yourself. It is a novel idea to most of you, but who knows once you get through this you may come to realize you don't need the government to tell you when to get out of the way of a cat 5 storm. And you can apply this lesson learned to the rest of you life, we can only hope for that change!
People wanted to try to control the natural flooding on the river. The flooding dropped silt that built the land back up as the land naturally sinks. All that did was make sure that New Orleans would get lower and lower. So now people live in a city that has water on three sides and sits below sea level.
And people still live there. And people will still not evacuate. And people will still loot. And people will still blame it on the government.
Did everyone know that we are currently setting a new record for the longest length of time since a major (Cat 3 or higher) hurricane hit the US? The old record was over a 100 years old. And Florida hasn't been hit by a hurricane in almost 7 years. And tropical cyclone numbers worldwide have been trending down for 30 years.
But Al Gore said Katrina (which made landfall as a Cat 3) was proof that hurricanes were going to become more numerous and more powerful.
That must be it. He did make it hit Haiti first.
Uh oh! Here comes Big Bad Gov't i.e. FEMA to the rescue! If these so called "self reliant" red states had any principles, they would reject all federal assistance and take care of their own after the storm.
@pat, You do realize the red states down south there suck more federal tax money from DC than other states do. Yet all those states hate "big" govt until they need a hand out. Then they start mouthing off about the welfare queens, lazy people, etc. What they are actually doing is deflecting the blame away from them. That is the typical gop/tea bagger way. Talk about some low informed people, they are it.
:)
Hopefully everyone will obey the evac order and get out safely, with no loss of life.
If they disobey the order like they did with Katrina, will it be President Obama's fault like Katrina was President Bush's?
Romney\Ryan 2012
Wolfpack-brovo-5 you know better than that. It will still be George Bush's fault because Obuma will inherit the storm that George W left him with. Thats what the libs will say.
Anyone that doesn't have enough sense to live above sea level deserves what they get. If I was going to give the world enema New Orleans is where I'd insert the tube.
A KATRINA REPEAT??!!! Could it be?? Oh and by the way people its really stupid to mix politics with this hurricane just cause a political convention is going on. HELLO lives are at stake!!!! That should be the main concern. If people are smart NOT stupid and evacuate then everything should be fine. Again its stupid to throw politics into this especially if your being stupid yourself and not evacuating!!
I'll offer my sincere hope that the hard lessons learned by the people of New Orleans and Louisiana are not put to the same test as 7 years ago. That said, here's hoping the people listen better this time around, properly respecting the awesome power of nature, and that governments, local, state and federal, put aside the partisan foolishness long enough to do their respective jobs and follow the procedures to minimize the impact before, while and after the storm passes. This is no time for ANYONE to make political hay in La., it is a time for government to server their constituants.
Of course it's not the same New Orleans as in '05! Many of those who wouldn't leave were bused to Houston (and other places), and have taken up residence there, becoming a blight on new communities! In many ways, Katrina proved very beneficial to New Orleans, but it's not PC to say so!
Lets see if those idiots leave this time.
Mandatory evacuations were orderd before KATRINA,however ignored by some but alot do not have money or transportation to get out to safe places. Please tell me the mayor and governor have made a way for these people to leave. Being poor or old in this country should be a death sentence when the weather takes such a devestating toll on our cities.
Sorry...but you are wrong. if you have loved ones there...go get them. No excuses. Just STOP making excuses. The government (which ends up being the taxpayers) shouldn't have to continue to foot the bill because of your stupidity.
For any of you New Orleans idiots that 'stay and ride out' the storm...dont cry and bitch when you lose everything this week. If you do...we should all just vote to leave the city under water and have you all shipped to somewhere other than the US! :)
Your right RNCTN... if people there are SOOO WORRIED about loosing everything then they shouldnt rebuild AGAIN in hurricane territory. Then if somthing does happen well you know they can just blame the goverment. Yes, our government may have flaws but at the same time the services they do provide often get ABUSED by many. I'm sorry but people who make stupid decisions then try to abuse the system don't derserve adequate help. Its so sad that MANY play the blame game with the government when really its there own choices that got them into that mess. I actually live in a desert community and still have everything thing I need and no worries about hurricanes.
Great to see that Florida has moved west of Louisiana.
What?? Florida moved WEST of Louisiana?? I don't get it. Its actually EAST of Louisiana silly, LMAO
"The hurricane warning area runs from Morgan City, La., westward to Destin, Fla."
That's what it said in the article.
Wallace - such an angry angry man. You'd do well to listen to Rush Limbaugh you could learn a lot. Go see the movie 2016 - that's what we are up against. Don't worry neither Mitt or Obama will take your public assistance away - based on your handle - 1947 you'll fall over the 55 year limit.
MANDATORY means mandatory! This time New Orleans residents need to pay attention and get out while they can. Maybe that way we won't have 1800 killed!
Anybody ignoring a mandatory evacuation doesnt deseve help after the fact. After all they've been WARNED!!
Do you think they will have sense enough to leave this time?
Iowa, those that stayed in New Orleans had no other means of leaving, not everyone has a vehicle, please. We lived 40 miles north of N.O. in Covington, we sent the Kids to friends in Arkansas and my eldest, husband and me decided to stay, We got lucky, minimal damage comparatively speaking, don't blame the victims here. Naggin, Mayor told people to go the Dome as a last resort, when the levee broke the 9th ward flooded, no warning. Congress refused Army Corp request for funds for levee repair. It was horrific for those people marooned. Kick in your empathy gene.
Just more excuses... here's hoping someone's brain will "kick in".... please....
Al Roker is NOT a meteorologist, notice he never says anything substantial about weather events. He's a reporter, that's it. Drives me nuts that NBC uses him as any kind of authority on weather and it's potentially dangerous consequences.
Rick Knabb, is actually Dr. Rick Knabb of the National Hurricane Center. Anyone that has ever watched the weather channel knows who he is. They open the article with his input.
Roker is also on the Weather Channel, so makes you nuts, luky not in harms way. Please empathy gene now.
Since a child, I have hated Al Roker. Such an idiot.