Hurricane Isaac remnant less likely to spawn tropical storm

Updated at 10:50 a.m. ET -- The chance that a remnant of Hurricane Isaac will give birth to a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico was greatly reduced overnight by the National Hurricane Center. It's now at 20 percent, down from 40 percent Thursday afternoon.

"Conditions are expected to become less favorable for development," it said in a Friday morning advisory.

Already producing rain, the system is southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River. 


A hurricane that deteriorates only to have a remnant redevelop into a tropical storm is not unheard of -- Ivan in 2004 was one case -- but it is unusual, Weather Channel meteorologist Jon Erdman reported Thursday.

"A funny thing happened to this remnant," he wrote in describing what's brewing. "Basically, the polar jet stream was never able to catch up" and whisk it away northward along with the rest of Isaac.

If a tropical storm does form it will not keep the name Isaac and instead would be Nadine, the next name on the official list.

Hurricane Michael became the first major Atlantic storm of 2012, while Hurricane Leslie continued to slowly move northward Thursday morning. Michael was not expected to make landfall, but Leslie was already creating waves in Bermuda. NBC's Brian Williams reports.

That's because the remnant in the gulf is only a small piece of the former hurricane. When a weakened Ivan regenerated into a tropical storm the name was kept because most of Ivan was still intact.

Isaac's daughter would be only the second time on record where a system regenerated along with a new name.

"This is the only example that we can find in the modern era where the partial remains of a system went on to regenerate and, so, get a different designation," National Hurricane Center meteorologist Todd Kimberlain told the Associated Press. 

The only other time? In 2005, a remnant from a tropical depression that dissipated near Puerto Rico eventually became part of a new depression -- which became the catastrophic Hurricane Katrina. 

This time, however, any new storm's impact will likely be minimal, Erdman stated.

Most of the rain could stay over the Gulf of Mexico "until it's kicked east or northeastward ... this weekend," he wrote. "Good news for those recovering from Isaac's surge and rainfall flooding in Louisiana and Mississippi."

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Discuss this post

It's alive!!!

  • 3 votes
Reply#1 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 6:53 PM EDT

"For what we are about to see next, we must enter quietly into the realm of genius."

  • 3 votes
#1.1 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 6:59 PM EDT
Reply

Are the taxpayers going to pay for the Sexual reassignment (Sex change)?

Lazarus

  • 4 votes
Reply#2 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 6:55 PM EDT

Octomon is that you again?

  • 2 votes
Reply#3 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 6:59 PM EDT

relly o_0

  • 1 vote
#3.1 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 7:40 PM EDT
Reply

Is the government going to pay for birth control so this won't happen again?

  • 4 votes
Reply#4 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 7:06 PM EDT
Reply

Groan...

    Reply#5 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 7:51 PM EDT

    No kidding! Groan

      #5.1 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 11:21 PM EDT
      Reply

      We are going to have a Cyclone in our neck of the woods? It will be the first one in history for North America. Seeing how Cyclones never ever form in this hemisphere. Never, never, never, ever.

      Can any one guess where they form? Apparently the righter for this story doesn't have a clue where they form.

        Reply#6 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 7:55 PM EDT

        Better go back to school. For a couple of reasons. The "writer" is correct. In the Atlantic Ocean and Eastern Pacific, tropical cyclones are known as hurricanes. In the Western Pacific Ocean, tropical cyclones are known as typhoons.

        • 5 votes
        #6.1 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 8:59 PM EDT

        Thanks for that, Pete :). And only time will tell how much these affected areas will need aid from org. like FEMA and Immediate Response Group.

          #6.2 - Fri Sep 7, 2012 4:18 PM EDT
          Reply

          i really think it is time to move new orleans further inland to higher ground. or are we going to have to rebuild it every 5 years on the tax payers. you must ask this question, if given the opportunity would you build a house in a bath tub? it is just plain stupidity to keep rebuilding in an area that is just going to be washed out again and again and again.

          • 1 vote
          Reply#7 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 8:06 PM EDT

          So what do you suggest? Jack the city up put it on flatbed trucks or barges and move it up river? This city is part of our history from 1776.

          BLB1 you are an idiot.

            #7.1 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 11:17 PM EDT
            Reply

            I agree with boomer812. The only problem is, I don't want the residents from that area rebuilding in my area!

            • 2 votes
            Reply#8 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 9:24 PM EDT

            BLB1 & Boomer812 are sheer idiots!!! We wouldn't want to rebuild in your area....wtfaya?

              #8.1 - Fri Sep 7, 2012 2:29 PM EDT
              Reply

              I hope it heads our way towards Texas as a tropical storm. God we need the rain.

              • 4 votes
              Reply#9 - Thu Sep 6, 2012 9:42 PM EDT

              We got a good soaking on the first round. Good luck and I hope you get it!

                #9.1 - Fri Sep 7, 2012 9:57 AM EDT
                Reply
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