
With less than three months left this year, it's looking increasingly likely that 2012 will go down as the warmest year on record in the continental United States.
January-September was already the warmest first nine months, according to temperature data released Tuesday by the National Climatic Data Center.
Moreover, six of eight scenarios charted by the center have 2012 ending warmer than any other year in records that go back to 1895. The only scenarios where that would not happen are if the last quarter is among the 10 coldest on record.
Last month was the 23rd warmest September on record and, more significantly, marked "the 16th consecutive month with above-average temperatures for the Lower 48," the center said in its monthly State of the Climate Report.
January-September temperatures averaged 59.8 degrees Fahrenheit -- 3.8 degrees F above the 20th-century average.
This year has already seen the warmest March and July on record, and, except for September, every other month was in the top 20 warmest, weather.com noted.

Looking ahead, the U.S. Climate Prediction Center last month posted its three-month outlook, citing "enhanced chances for above normal temperatures from the Southwest through the Great Plains to the Northeast."
Weather.com meteorologist Nick Wiltgen noted that only eight of the past 117 years have had an October-December cold enough to drag the U.S. average in 2012 below the "warmest year" record now shared by 2006 and 1998.
In September, Wiltgen calculated that through August "the odds of not surpassing the warmest year on record are about 13 percent."
Now, he tweeted on Tuesday, those odds are about 7 percent.
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You can't just pick and choose your science. Climate science uses the same scientific methods as other areas of science, You can't accept all these other areas of science and then say that, when it comes to climate science, all of a sudden now science is wrong.
it couldn't be harp and chemtrails orchestrated by govt. geo-engineers that want to kill 90% of us could it sheeple. even the private sector has jumped into the fray for bigbucks under the illusion of saving earth from ozone depletion that the govt. purposely causes. go ahead you sheeple believe anyo big bad wolf story your govt. controlled and illuminati owned press and agencies print. when they lockyour ass up in fema camps, flouridate your water, eliminating reproduction, and inject your infants with the 20+ innocculations by the time they're 2 yrs. old to rid them of their bodies natural defenses. early death of the masses is all they want. wakeup sheeple.you probably still believe wtc 7 was hit by a plane too.
wow, these comments are pretty amazing.
Scarcely a mention of all the tens of millions of trees that died this summer, or the record ice melt in the arctic, or the unprecedented crop failures. there is a whole series of imbalances that are well underway, and as each one develops, it has a domino effect in the altering and accellerated collapse of the balance in other environmental systems.
It would be a good idea to find out as much as possible about the ecological systems of the world we inhabit, we all live under the same sky, but we do not all see the same horizon.
The problem is man made! Temperature recording equipment is inaccurate in different regions due to placement of monitoring equipment. One such recording device was found near an air conditioning exhaust, another 2" off a tar roof top, lack of calibration, poor upkeep, urban placement of monitoring devices don't factor in heat sources not typical to rural areas. Increases of earthquakes (movement of tectonic plates) on the rise mostly underseas release huge amounts of CO2 into oceans. Industry or man made pollutants overshadow those of nature typically but one big blast from nature can produce more in one day than man could in 100 years unless man has an itchy trigger finger and all out nuclear war. So what will fix all of our global warming problems? Dump technology, from Auto to Zener Diode, no plastics, no synthetic materials, no industry. That alone would kill 80% of America that couldn't survive without a grocery store. Solar is inefficient, wind farms are killing wildlife and problematic, electric cars have batteries that are extremely toxic to the environment, to produce any of the previous you need industry that pollutes. Why do you think there is less industry in America and we whine about lack of jobs, EPA regulations, can't breathe clean air and manufacture most or the devices we use on a daily basis. As long as you want your new smart phone, GPS and technology in your new car, and all your luxuries .
Of course, you would have to do it too, and you woudn't be able to blog ur b.s. online.
So let me try to parse what you're saying:
1) Global climate change is real and caused by man (nice start)
2) It's not real and is due to problems with the thermometers that somehow thousands of scientists failed to notice but you did (what a miracle!)
3) It's real but caused by earthquakes and somehow thousands of scientists failed to notice but you did (what a miracle!)
4) It's real but natural processes could make it even worse by 100 times and somehow thousands of scientists failed to notice but you did (what a miracle!)
5) There's nothing we can do about it so just shut up already.
Is that about it?
Have you ever accidently stepped on an ant and didn't know it? That's exaclty how much power you have over the weather.
None.
We're talking about climate. Go research the difference and come back to us.
More progressive enviro bull@!$%#.
Right, just go back to your penis, nothing to see here
I accept the science of humans changing the atmospheric chemical composition through globalized industrialization. Much to my frustration and concern for future generations, the political reality is that there are so many ignorant Americans (some by choice, some by circumstance) it will take many years of violent and powerful weather, unusually hot summers, drought, and increasingly acidic oceans before today's ignorant are dead and more informed voters decide to take action. The problem is that so much more pollution will have been added to the atmosphere by then that the train of climate change will have already left the station and the seas will inevitably rise. What I don't understand is that we buy insurance for our lives, homes, autos, and other valuables but we don't place a value on our planet by paying for insurance just in case the science is correct.
For those of us who don’t like to be ignorant about the science of altering the atmosphere's chemistry, I suggest the following books with a brief quote from each:
I make these suggestions to help frame the science behind the issues associated with human-caused changes in the chemical composition of the atmosphere. Many people seem ignorant of the science behind climate analysis and content to put their heads deeply into the sand. The defining characteristic of humanity, complex intelligence, is enhanced by a broad liberal education. Thomas Jefferson had this to say about higher education including science: “the university [of Virginia] would be ‘now qualified to raise its youth to an order of science unequalled in any other state; and this superiority will be greater from the free range of mind encouraged there, and the restraint imposed at other seminaries by the shackles of a domineering hierarchy and a bigoted adhesion to ancient habits.’” [from Thomas Jefferson, Willard Sterne Randall, 1993, page 588]
Couldn't find any of your numbers biblical, Do you have the truth anywhere else ???
Persoanly i see the global climate chage as a real issue however lets leave that on the back burner. Does it really mater if global warming or climate change is real or not? The real problem here is fuel and energy period. We have what about 100yrs left of oil natural gas and coal globaly? So why are we waisting time arguing over climate change when the real problem is we are running out of an essential resource to power things. It dosnt matter if you believe in global warming or not we still need to develop alternate energy sources PERIOD. The past 100yrs went by in a blink of an eye and hardly any alternate energy sources were developed in thoes 100yrs so the clock is ticking. Will mankind wait until we run out of fosil fuels and suffer the consequences or will we pull our head out of our A$$es and develop some alternate energy sources that we need anyway regardless of your views on global warming.
Actually the U.S. has reserves that will last 300 years plus. What will happen when the rest of the planet runs out and "we" control the market?
We had 300yrs of reserves but we have been taping into that for a good while now, plus thoes numbers are based off of curent usage rates. People keep making babies and the population is growing exponentially and they are going to buy cars and heat thier homes too. Plus planing on something that we "suposidly have in reserves" based on what our goverment tells us is just bad planning period. Its better to have a back up solution incase in the event our "300yr reserve" dosnt live up to our expectations. In addtion why do you think our gas prices keep going up? Yes they might go down agian but the overall trend will always be increasing prices regardless. This is a simple economic equation increase in demand increase the price. Why? well becuase production isnt keeping up with demand so you need to eliminate or reduce the number of people purchasing the product to stabilize the market. Why reduce purchasers and not increase production? Well its difficult to increase production as there are a limited number of places on earth to produce fosil fuels. And even if you do find a new area to produce demands are going to rise faster than production especialy on fuel resources. Secondly these resources are non-renewable so they will run out. So agian why waste time arguing over this silly topics on global warming or we have enough fuels to last my life time why should we care. Well personaly i want my kids and my grand kids ans possibly thier kids on down the road to be able to enjoy life and reflect back on our generation as the ones that paved the way for thier future. I dont want them to look back and say what the h3ll were our ancestors thinking leaving us with all these problems. Think long term not short term people.
Those alternative energy sources have all been around for 100 years. Wind, for centuries. Solar electric, since the '90s. The 1890's. There is a reason we got away from them, they are all low density. Electric storage still is. It's amazing that people still think these horribly wasteful technologies will someday have merit when they have been hopelessly substandard for generations. There are some promising technologies out there, like thorium reactors, but most others can't remotely compete with real fuels.
There is no alternative to energy.
I just read a college text book, actually two, both recently published 2009 and 2011. Your numbers don't jive with either one of them, they state 35 years of current oil reserves. I'm not defending them or suggesting that they are absolute, but the fact is fossil fuels are finite. Oil, coal, natural gas will eventually run out. There are plenty of alternatives, but it is a matter of economics; right now oil and coal are cheap and easy to get (because of the developed infrastructure). Nuclear appears clean and cheap, we still have no where to safely store or dispose of spent fuel and it is piling up folks. Big problem for the world is future energy resources.
According to Ice cores from scientific methods. The planet freezes over roughly every 10000 years or so. Lets freeze over the federal government, get rid of biased media and act like " we the people" These idiots work for us.
Don't you mean, "we the idiots" ?
When the sun explodes, AND IT WILL, then you can call it global warming. Get a clue. Our planet will one day burst into flames.
LOL ! WOW what a statement.
Our sun still has at least 6 billion years more of energy. You can write your post here again at that time.
I've been collecting weather data with a home station for the last nine years. The data gets uploaded to NOAA via the Citizen Weather Observer Program and is incorporated into forecasting and modeling programs. Whatever is going on this year, I can say without a doubt that 2012 has been the warmest since I started collecting data. Warm enough that I didn't get crap from my poor confused fruit trees. That's my story and I'm sticking to it.
LOL ! Right on Craken.
You deniers wouldn't do well in Vegas. That map shows high odds that warmest year will play out. I'd bet the next 3 months salary on it.
2012 is not even close to 1934 in the USA. It actually WAS hot in 1934. Really hot. The only way NOAA has been able to make 2012 warmer is to remove about 1.5°F from the older raw data and to add about 1.5°F to the modern raw data. Menne, Karl, and other studies only can justify around 0.5°F for homogenization and other adjustments, which is about 60% of the claimed "AGW signal". It is shocking what NOAA is doing to corrupt the record, we are now at more than 3°F in adjustments in a vile attempt to make 2012 seem like it is warmer. If you want to see the real hockey stick, read more about it at Steven Goddard's blog. NOAA is going to have to come clean on this before anyone is going to believe the latest data. He's got them squirming now, and the entire record is now suspect.
Here is one of many articles you can read. All of this you can verify yourself, if you dig through the 22GB files to extract the raw data. https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2012/10/04/ushcn-resolves-their-temperature-problem/
Absolute B.S.
When will all people realize that the earth is heading for disaster? When the average temperature during the summer hits 125 degrees all over? It will be too late then.
it will still be a cyclical thing. geez doesn't anyone get it? oh yea thats sarcasm btw.
my buttcheeks feel like they have some global warming going on.
Claiming that CO2 causes AGW is pure Junk Science
It is devious, dishonest, disingenuous “junk science” for the proponents of AGW to claim that non-cloud H2O vapor (humidity) is a heat-trapping “greenhouse” gas …. and then refuse to include the quantity of heat that it “traps” when calculating surface temperatures.
It is devious, dishonest, disingenuous “junk science” for the proponents of AGW to claim that the thermal energy (heat) “feedback” from the 100 ppm increase in/of the current 395 ppm of atmospheric CO2 is the primary cause of a recent 1F increase in surface temperatures …. but then refuse to consider the thermal energy (heat) “feedback” from a 10,000 or a 25,000 ppm increase in atmospheric H2O vapor when calculating increases in surface temperatures.
If as the proponents of AGW claim, …. that it is a science fact that 395 ppm of CO2 will affect the surface temperature on any given day, …… then it is also a scientific fact that 25,000 ppm of H2O vapor will affect the surface temperature on any given day.
There is no known entity in the universe that “traps” thermal energy other than the per say Black Holes at centers of galaxies.
All warming effects are the result of the thermal (IR) energy that is being absorbed and re-radiated by the molecules of H2O and CO2 that are currently residing in the atmosphere at any given time ….. and has absolutely nothing whatsoever to do with how many days, weeks, months or years they have been resident in the atmosphere or what entity caused them to be in the atmosphere.
Now either H2O vapor is a “heat trapping greenhouse gas” the same as CO2 …… or neither one of them are “heat trapping greenhouse gases” ….. and the proponents of AGW can not selectively choose the “time & place” that H2O vapor is and when it isn’t.
Therefore their CO2 causing AGW claims are fraudulent and they know they are.
With so many things that literally disproves CO2 caused Anthropogenic Global Warming then it is apparently a “religious belief” of many or most of the proponents of said that causes them to deny said literal “truths”. To wit:
You are caught by your own logic. The fact that water vapor is a greenhouse gas does not mean that carbon dioxide is NOT. Whether or not they model water vapor correctly, it is still true that adding more CO2 to the atmosphere will warm the climate. We have known that for over 100 yers.
And none of your list of "disproves" is actually true.
Only in your wildest of dreams, maybe.
But scientifically speaking, they are all factual and easily proven to be said.
The fact that the warming of the earth is on steroids is irrefutable. The only question that remains is how much of the cause is anthropogenic. In essence, the appropriate question here is not how much of the cause is anthropogenic. I believe it is how much of the solution is anthropogenic By the time we learn the answer to these question, it may already be too lat
To those in a terminal state of doubt, I would like to pose the question: Does burning billions of tons/gallons/cubic feet of fossil fuels cool the climate?
The "tunnelvision" of only looking at what the AGW'ers claim will cause one to think that.
Let's look at the "adjustments" that have been made to the temperature record.
The past made cooler and the present made hotter.
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2012/10/10/inside-the-hockey-stick-factory/
As long as you are fudging the numbers you can make it be anything you want.
There is a system of weather stations that are located according to NOAA guidelines. That system have temperatures that are 2 degrees cooler than the system being used for official records. The official system was been encroached upon my buildings, parking lots, air conditioners, even barbeque pits. All things that get hotter than the natural objects that are supposed to be near the stations.
And even with this bad system they still have to adjust the temperatures upward so they can claim hottest ever.
"Steven Goddard" is a pseudonym used by an anonymous climate denialist crank, so incredibly sloppy that he even embarrassed arch climate denier Anthony Watts, as shown in this link, and as I showed in one of last year's "sea ice wrap-up" videos.
http://climatecrocks.com/2011/09/14/new-lows-sea-ice-and-steven-goddard-credibility/
I always assumed that economykiller WAS "Steven Goddard" He certainly spends full time promoting the web site.
The data comes from NOAA.
But since you can't attack the message you attack the messenger.
Typical.
How about all the recent cold temperature records that have been broken? It comes from official National Weather Service data. Are those not real either?
http://mapcenter.hamweather.com/records/4day/us.html?c=maxtemp,mintemp,lowmax,highmin,snow
The republican take on climate change is pretty much the same thing as any other issue. Scientists say the earth was warm in the past so scientists saying the climate changes now are due to the almost 20% increase in greenhouse gases from fossil fuel burning are liars. The right speak out of both sides of their mouth, and the really bizarre thing is that allot of them don't even know they are doing it, even when it is pointed out to them. It is cognitive dissonance on a massive scale, and the reason for it is actually kind of simple. If they recognized the climate changes that have happened, are happening and are forecast to get worse, then they would have to recognize their responsibility in causing them and their responsibility in taking the painful steps to change directions. Those minds would rather blame any and all their neighbors for everything and anything, than take responsibility themselves. That is the republican mantra. Blame thy neighbor. Like the global economic collapse was not gaming the unregulated free market. It was their neighbors, the undeserving poor, sick and elderly took advantage of a market regulated for them.
Well now, cdugga, in your above commentary you didn't blame anything on the Flying Spaghetti Monster, ..... so tell us why you didn't.
This study is crap as I live in Northwest Florida and we have had a below average year for temperatures (summer) and average year for rainfall amounts. Yes we had higher than average for winter months, but the scientists who are proprogating this crap are once again attempting to sell the snake oil. While I do believe we do leave our footprint on our land, we do not leave it to the extremes the scientists (loosely calling them this) attempt to claim.
You do understand the Northwest Florida is not the entire country?
Part of global climate change is the shifting of the jet stream, and the increase of water vapor (from warming oceans)leading to shifting weather patterns and increase in precipitation--including rain and snow, as well as increase in the extremes we have been witnessing these last few years. In addition, Florida being mostly a peninsula, gets more precipitation having more to do with marine layers.
There is no evidence of any increase in extremes. Unless you want to say that major hurricane strikes in the USA have been an extremely long wait, or that hurricane ACE is extremely low lately, or that Tornadoes have been at an extremely low level this year. Don't believe the propaganda, check the data so you don't look like a fool. It is annoying to the rest of us that actually DO look at the data. By almost any measure, the trend is either inconclusive, or in a favorable direction. I can't think of a single measure that is "worse", or even "different from" normal.
Critical times hard to deal with, will be here.
Dumb Arse's,who pays these people for this crap anyway?.It is Oct 10th and it's 31 degrees and snowing here in North Dakota which some would say here is about normal to an early winter,but for the past 5 years,I haven't seen snow this early.So tell me again about this global warming BS.
Look at this adjustment from HADCRUT 3 to HADCRUT 4.
http://sunshinehours.wordpress.com/2012/10/10/hadcrut4-the-scammers-are-getting-shameless/
Why the adjustment? To make it seem hotter than it is. To make it seem like it is warming.
When you see things like this you know it is a scam.
If you don't know why they adjusted it, that does make it easier to accuse them of lying, but it doesn't make the accusation true.
Since most climate scientists agree that the climate is warming, calling it a "scam" just proves that you are not interested in legitimate debate.
But we already knew that.
The hadcrut4 to hadcrut3 adjustment is huge at 0.05°C per decade, and the explanation is inadequate I agree. But NOAA's adjustments lately (adding on more than 6x what is justified by their own scientists) is the scandal of the century. It is the ultimate hockey stick. Global warming out of thin air. These propagandists are getting so bold it would make Goebbels blush.
I've got news for you NOAA, there are dozens of us with hard drives full of the old raw data. We're watching you.