No nation immune to climate change, World Bank report shows

 

WASHINGTON — All nations will suffer the effects of a warmer world, but it is the world's poorest countries that will be hit hardest by food shortages, rising sea levels, cyclones and drought, the World Bank said in a report on climate change. 

Under new World Bank President Jim Yong Kim, the global development lender has launched a more aggressive stance to integrate climate change into development. 



"We will never end poverty if we don't tackle climate change. It is one of the single biggest challenges to social justice today," Kim told reporters on a conference call on Friday. 

The report, called "Turn Down the Heat," highlights the devastating impact of a world hotter by 4 degrees Celsius (7.2 Fahrenheit) by the end of the century, a likely scenario under current policies, according to the report. 

Climate change is already having an effect: Arctic sea ice reached a record minimum in September, and extreme heat waves and drought in the last decade have hit places like the United States and Russia more often than would be expected from historical records, the report said. 

Such extreme weather is likely to become the "new normal" if the temperature rises by 4 degrees, according to the World Bank report. This is likely to happen if not all countries comply with pledges they have made to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Even assuming full compliance, the world will warm by more than 3 degrees by 2100. 

In this hotter climate, the level of the sea would rise by up to 3 feet, flooding cities in places like Vietnam and Bangladesh. Water scarcity and falling crop yields would exacerbate hunger and poverty. 

Extreme heat waves would devastate broad swaths of the earth's land, from the Middle East to the United States, the report says. The warmest July in the Mediterranean could be 9 degrees hotter than it is today -- akin to temperatures seen in the Libyan desert. 

The combined effect of all these changes could be even worse, with unpredictable effects that people may not be able to adapt to, said John Schellnhuber, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, which along with Climate Analytics prepared the report for the World Bank. 

"If you look at all these things together, like organs cooperating in a human body, you can think about acceleration of this dilemma," said Schellnhuber, who studied chaos theory as a physicist. "The picture reads that this is not where we want the world to go.

Shocked into action
As the first scientist to head the World Bank, Kim has pointed to "unequivocal" scientific evidence for man-made climate change to urge countries to do more. 

Kim said 97 percent of scientists agree on the reality of climate change. 

"It is my hope that this report shocks us into action," Kim, writes in the report. 

Scientists are convinced that global warming in the past century is caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases produced by human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation. These findings by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were recognized by the national science academies of all major industrialized nations in a joint statement in 2010.

Kim said the World Bank plans to further meld climate change with development in its programs.

Last year, the Bank doubled its funding for countries seeking to adapt to climate change, and now operates $7.2 billion in climate investment funds in 48 countries. 

The World Bank study comes as almost 200 nations will meet in Doha, Qatar, from Nov. 26 to Dec. 7 to try to extend the Kyoto Protocol, the existing plan for curbing greenhouse gas emissions by developed nations that runs to the end of the year. 

They have been trying off and on since Kyoto was agreed in 1997 to widen limits on emissions but have been unable to find a formula acceptable to both rich and poor nations. 

Emerging countries like China, the world's biggest emitter of greenhouse gases, have said the main responsibility to cut emissions lies with developed nations, which had a headstart in sparking global warming. 

Combating climate change also poses a challenge for the poverty-fighting World Bank: how to balance global warming with immediate energy needs in poor countries.

In 2010, the World Bank approved a $3.75 billion loan to develop a coal-fired power plant in South Africa despite lack of support from the United States, Netherlands and Britain due to environmental concerns. 

"There really is no alternative to urgent action given the devastating consequences of climate change," global development group Oxfam said in a statement. "Now the question for the World Bank is how it will ensure that all of its investments respond to the imperatives of the report." 

Kim said the World Bank tries to avoid investing in coal unless there are no other options. 

"But at the same time, we are the group of last resort in finding needed energy in countries that are desperately in search of it," he said. 

More content from NBCNews.com:

Follow US news from NBCNews.com on Twitter and Facebook

 

Discuss this post

Coal fired plants are good if they filter and capture the green house gases. We have the technology. Retro-fitting the coal plants instead of shutting them down would seem to be more viable than just shutting them down. The coal industry provides a lot of jobs and is also freight for the train system.

  • Reference the MIT review at: www.technologyreview.com/news/417294/clean-coal-power-plant-set-for-texas/

There is a use for the green house gases. Some oil fields alternate brine water injection with CO2 injection to increase production from depleted fields and this is successful at more oil recovery.

    Reply#1 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 11:26 AM EST

    Sounds like the places most responsible for the warming are the least likely to feel the worst effects. Obviously a problem, motivation-wise. Also sounds like China is copping out - if their population are late-comers to the fossil-fuel dependency system, they shouldn't feel as upset at giving up some of it!

    • 2 votes
    Reply#2 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 12:33 PM EST

    We will never end poverty if we don't tackle climate change. It is one of the single biggest challenges to social justice today,"

    yet another version of the "blame game", tell ya what why not just "redistribute" it. or just tax the hell out of it, that will certainly help.

    • 1 vote
    Reply#3 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 1:36 PM EST

    "Now the question for the World Bank is how it will ensure that all of its investments respond to the imperatives of the report."

    simple enough...in one hand is your report...in the other hand is the capitol gains sped sheet showing huge profits and dividends,...which one do you think will hit the ol waste basket?

      Reply#4 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 1:40 PM EST

      How about that the age old screaming of the word...BOO !!!! ..has been replaced by the words "global warming".........

      • 1 vote
      Reply#5 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 1:43 PM EST

      We've heard all the horror stories numerous times befoe. My only reaction is a big bored yawn.

        Reply#6 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 2:34 PM EST

        Yup

        Just close your eyes. What you can't see can't hurt you.

          #6.1 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 3:34 PM EST

          More like, what you can't see isn't happening.

            #6.2 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 7:49 PM EST
            Reply

            hopefully general you got it all in!!! Now you have to get it out somehow!!!

              Reply#7 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 3:18 PM EST

              Our general who could have been the president in 2016 finally learned it is lot easier to get it IN then OUT!!! Good job you moron, now the GOP will not have any presidential candidates to run against the most evil person on the planet and that is HILARY CLINTON.

                Reply#8 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 3:23 PM EST

                ?

                  #8.1 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 3:33 PM EST
                  Reply

                  What's with all the "would". It is "will".

                  What we have seen in the last few years on this land (Katrina, Sandy, droughts) is just nothing compared to what Will come. Expect more coastal nightmares and more inland droughts. I guess it is a mean of population control. Real estate in between is a good bet.

                  This ant colony has overdone the ant farm.

                    Reply#9 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 4:17 PM EST

                    The sky is falling! The sky is falling!........douche

                      #9.1 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 7:52 PM EST
                      Reply

                      If we don't launch a serious campaign to reduce global population and drastically reduce global pollution and stripping of the planet, mother nature will take care of the population problem.

                      • 1 vote
                      Reply#10 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 5:47 PM EST

                      You want to reduce the population?.....jump off a tall building, and take some of your treehugger pals with you.........Hey, do it for the planet.

                        #10.1 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 7:53 PM EST
                        Reply

                        News Flash: Science confirms Climate Change Crisis “WILL NOT”
                        happen.

                        26 years of science saying a climate change crisis could happen and never saying it “will” happen is as good as saying it “WILL NOT” happen.

                        Not one single IPCC crisis report isn’t showered in; “could be” and “might be” and “maybe”…

                        HELP MY HOUSE COULD BE ON FIRE MAYBE?

                        REAL planet lovers welcome the good news of the crisis being exaggerated.

                        • 2 votes
                        Reply#11 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 6:57 PM EST

                        Blah Blah Blah!.....when will this hoax end? God people are so stupid but....obama was re-elected so we already knew that.

                          Reply#12 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 7:47 PM EST

                          I live in Washington (state) and they have found large intact fossils of palm trees near Bellingham WA (which is very close to the Canadian border) after rock slides. We don't have native palm trees now - our climate is much colder. So did the native inhabitants dump so much junk into the air they created this giant climate change? I don't believe so. Get on with your Gore hoax and God help the rest of us! I believe there are changes happening but I don't believe mankind is the only reason for massive storms, etc. And I do think this climate change is crap - backed by the UN (and Obama) to gain control, spread wealth, etc.

                            Reply#13 - Mon Nov 19, 2012 11:48 PM EST
                            You're in Easy Mode. If you prefer, you can use XHTML Mode instead.
                            As a new user, you may notice a few temporary content restrictions. Click here for more info.